Autonomic Computing

Thursday, December 3, 2009

PsychoHistory - Analyzing themes from The Futurists

In the chapter titled "The Futurists",(from the book: The Fortune Sellers) the author states that "Given that people individually and collectively are not very predictable and that social theories are weak, making predictions about the behaviors of various groups of people can be very dangerous." This statement reminded me of Isaac Asimov's "Foundation" series, where the concept of psychohistory is introduced as a means of predicting what humans, as a mass, will do in the future. A curious side note is that some critics have surmised that Asimov was influenced by Karl Marx's theory of history writings, which were also discussed in the same chapter. Please see the following links:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psychohistory_(fictional)

http://nextbigfuture.com/2009/07/creating-real-life-version-of.html

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